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November 2019 Climate Summary

The province as a whole received below normal rains during November (slide 1). The western side of the province, which normally experiences winter rain and therefore much less rain during summer months, in effect received rainfall below the monthly average for November (slide 2). The West Coast received <25% of the monthly long-term means, while the Cape Winelands and Overberg illustrated somewhat better conditions in comparison to the West Coast. Rains however improved more towards the central, southern and eastern regions of the province, though remaining mostly below normal. Outeniqua received 60mm (highest in province?), 60% of its normal quota, while Oudtshoorn received 8mm (vs LTM 15mm), Prince Albert 5mm (vs LTM 10mm), Riversdale 34mm (vs LTM 50mm) and Mossel Bay (32mm vs (80mm). The latter clearly illustrates the higher historical long-term means in the eastern parts compared to this year’s rainfall, resulting in below-normal conditions for November 2019.

Slide 2 also presented monthly mean maximum temperatures of about 35 weather stations which on overall obtained above normal (mean ±1 °C) with anomalies ranging between -0.8 °C at Citrusdal, to 3.1 °C at Clanwilliam. The monthly maximum temperatures at Oudtshoorn averaged 31.6 °C for November resulting in an anomaly of 2.6 °C. There is a similar tendency of above normal though at a lower scale for the monthly mean minimum temperatures.

The state dams in the province dropped slightly to an average water level of 63% (2nd December); water content of larger dams like the Theewaterskloof and Clanwilliam dams were respectively 72% and 81%. Dam levels in the eastern regions remained either disturbingly low in the Karoo regions, to some improvement in water content in the southern coastal areas.

slide 1


slide 2


As for the latest seasonal forecasts with regard to the summer period, the forecasts from SAWS (http://www.weathersa.co.za/) do not present any relief in the form of substantial rains in the Western Cape. As for maximum temperatures, the corresponding forecasting images indicate conditions of above normal temperatures.

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Agri-Oulook November 2019

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